NBA 博彩中的冷门话题
简介
本页面是我“NBA 投注”主页的附录。我创建该页面时，它基于 2013 至 2017 赛季的数据。2018 年 9 月，我更新了它，现在基于 1987 至 2006 赛季的数据。然而，有些不太常用的表格我懒得更新。我花了太多时间研究它们，不想把它们扔掉，所以就把内容复制粘贴到这个页面上了。
购买和出售额外积分
在篮球和足球比赛中，如果你投入更多资金，就可以购买额外积分。拉斯维加斯的大多数赌场最多允许你购买半分（如果你下注120分），而不是通常的110分。一些网络赌场允许你购买或出售大量积分。
在进一步探讨之前，请先看一下下图，图中显示了从1到20分的胜负概率。根据规则，篮球比赛绝不会以平局结束。另外，请注意，与2到9分的胜负概率相比，1分的胜负概率相当低。我的理解是，如果一支球队在最后几秒落后两分，他们就会选择追平比分，将比赛拖入加时赛，而不是尝试投三分球。从10分的胜负比开始，胜负概率就开始下降。
由于不可能出现平局，-0.5、0 和 0.5 的让分都一样。由于胜率 1 的概率很低，从 -1 到 0 或从 0 到 +1 的收益也相对较小。大多数体育博彩公司都会考虑到这一点。在 Bet365 和奥林匹克，他们购买半分时会跳过三个点，直接从 -1 到 +1。
以下两个表格显示了购买的点数（卖出点数为负数）、Bet365 和奥林匹克的赔率、赢、输、平局的概率、公平线以及 Bet365 和奥林匹克的赌场优势。第一个表格假设玩家始终购买点数，除非起始点差为零。第二个表格假设玩家仅在购买点数不会导致调整后的点差超过零的情况下才购买点数。这两个表格都假设 Bet365/奥林匹克的规则，即购买比 -1 低半个点数的点数，点差将直接变为 +1。
在第二张表格中，买入点数的赌场优势较低，这表明如果买入点数导致点差出现平局，投注者就不应该买入点数。然而，如果卖出点数，最好是出现平局。
如果您唯一的选择是买一个半点，下注120，或者不买，下注110，那么就只能是碰运气了。不买的话，赌场优势会少0.01%，但这在误差范围内。在Bet365，买2.5点，赌场优势最小，赌场优势为2.05%。在奥林匹克，要么只买一个半点，要么什么都不买。如果您能找到允许买多个半点的体育博彩公司，并且每个半点收费10美分，那就尽可能多买。
买入/卖出点差额外积分 — 除非点差为零，否则投注
| 购买积分 | Bet365 支付 | 奥林匹克支付 | 概率获胜 | 概率损失 | 概率平局 | 公平线 | Bet365 的庄家优势 | 奥林匹克庄家优势 |
|---|
| -8.5 | 375 | | 19.53% | 79.22% | 1.25% | 406 | 5.98% | |
| -8 | 350 | | 20.78% | 77.86% | 1.36% | 375 | 5.13% | |
| -7.5 | 325 | | 22.14% | 76.51% | 1.35% | 346 | 4.55% | |
| -7 | 300 | | 23.49% | 75.03% | 1.49% | 319 | 4.56% | |
| -6.5 | 270 | | 24.97% | 73.51% | 1.52% | 294 | 6.07% | |
| -6 | 245 | | 26.49% | 71.82% | 1.69% | 271 | 6.91% | |
| -5.5 | 220 | | 28.18% | 70.19% | 1.62% | 249 | 8.19% | |
| -5 | 200 | | 29.81% | 68.5% | 1.70% | 230 | 8.88% | |
| -4.5 | 180 | | 31.50% | 66.73% | 1.76% | 212 | 10.03% | |
| -4 | 160 | | 33.27% | 64.71% | 2.03% | 195 | 11.48% | |
| -3.5 | 150 | | 35.29% | 62.93% | 1.78% | 178 | 9.99% | |
| -3 | 140 | | 37.07% | 61.04% | 1.89% | 165 | 9.14% | |
| -2.5 | 130 | | 38.96% | 59.06% | 1.98% | 152 | 8.41% | |
| -2 | 120 | | 40.94% | 57.02% | 2.04% | 139 | 7.90% | |
| -1.5 | 110 | | 42.98% | 55.08% | 1.94% | 128 | 7.81% | |
| -1 | 105 | | 44.92% | 52.99% | 2.09% | 118 | 5.83% | |
| -0.5 | 100 | | 47.01% | 51.01% | 1.98% | 109 | 4.00% | |
| 0 | -110 | -110 | 48.99% | 48.99% | 2.02% | 1 | 4.45% | 4.45% |
| 0.5 | -120 | -120 | 51.01% | 47.01% | 1.98% | -109 | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| 1 | -130 | -150 | 52.99% | 44.92% | 2.09% | -118 | 4.16% | 9.59% |
| 1.5 | -140 | -170 | 55.08% | 42.98% | 1.94% | -128 | 3.63% | 10.58% |
| 2 | -150 | -190 | 57.02% | 40.94% | 2.04% | -139 | 2.92% | 10.92% |
| 2.5 | -160 | -220 | 59.06% | 38.96% | 1.98% | -152 | 2.05% | 12.11% |
| 3 | -180 | -250 | 61.04% | 37.07% | 1.89% | -165 | 3.16% | 12.65% |
| 3.5 | -200 | -280 | 62.93% | 35.29% | 1.78% | -178 | 3.83% | 12.82% |
| 4 | -220 | -310 | 64.71% | 33.27% | 2.03% | -195 | 3.85% | 12.39% |
| 4.5 | -245 | -410 | 66.73% | 31.5% | 1.76% | -212 | 4.27% | 15.23% |
| 5 | -270 | -450 | 68.5% | 29.81% | 1.7% | -230 | 4.44% | 14.58% |
| 5.5 | -300 | -490 | 70.19% | 28.18% | 1.62% | -249 | 4.79% | 13.86% |
| 6 | -325 | -530 | 71.82% | 26.49% | 1.69% | -271 | 4.4% | 12.94% |
| 6.5 | -350 | -570 | 73.51% | 24.97% | 1.52% | -294 | 3.97% | 12.08% |
| 7 | -375 | -610 | 75.03% | 23.49% | 1.49% | -319 | 3.48% | 11.19% |
| 7.5 | | -670 | 76.51% | 22.14% | 1.35% | -346 | | 10.72% |
| 8 | | -730 | 77.86% | 20.78% | 1.36% | -375 | | 10.11% |
| 8.5 | | -790 | 79.22% | 19.53% | 1.25% | -406 | | 9.50% |
买入/卖出点差额外积分 — 除非点差为零或跨零，否则投注
| 购买积分 | Bet365 支付 | 奥林匹克支付 | 概率获胜 | 概率损失 | 概率平局 | 公平线 | Bet365 的庄家优势 | 奥林匹克庄家优势 |
|---|
| -8.5 | 375 | | 19.1% | 79.74% | 1.16% | 418 | 8.12% | |
| -8 | 350 | | 20.28% | 78.24% | 1.48% | 386 | 7.25% | |
| -7.5 | 325 | | 21.79% | 76.9% | 1.32% | 353 | 6.10% | |
| -7 | 300 | | 23.05% | 75.43% | 1.52% | 327 | 6.29% | |
| -6.5 | 270 | | 24.57% | 73.94% | 1.49% | 301 | 7.59% | |
| -6 | 245 | | 26.03% | 72.2% | 1.78% | 277 | 8.43% | |
| -5.5 | 220 | | 27.81% | 70.59% | 1.60% | 254 | 9.42% | |
| -5 | 200 | | 29.36% | 68.84% | 1.80% | 234 | 10.12% | |
| -4.5 | 180 | | 31.22% | 67.08% | 1.70% | 215 | 10.89% | |
| -4 | 160 | | 32.99% | 64.94% | 2.07% | 197 | 12.15% | |
| -3.5 | 150 | | 35.11% | 63.14% | 1.75% | 180 | 10.47% | |
| -3 | 140 | | 36.87% | 61.15% | 1.97% | 166 | 9.53% | |
| -2.5 | 130 | | 38.84% | 59.21% | 1.95% | 152 | 8.72% | |
| -2 | 120 | | 40.86% | 57.05% | 2.09% | 140 | 8.01% | |
| -1.5 | 110 | | 42.97% | 55.12% | 1.92% | 128 | 7.85% | |
| -1 | 105 | | 44.88% | 53.00% | 2.12% | 118 | 5.88% | |
| -0.5 | 100 | | 47.00% | 51.04% | 1.96% | 109 | 4.04% | |
| 0 | -110 | -110 | 48.99% | 48.99% | 2.02% | 1 | 4.45% | 4.45% |
| 0.5 | -120 | -120 | 51.04% | 47% | 1.96% | -109 | 4.46% | 4.46% |
| 1 | -130 | -150 | 53% | 44.88% | 2.12% | -118 | 4.11% | 9.55% |
| 1.5 | -140 | -170 | 55.12% | 42.97% | 1.92% | -128 | 3.6% | 10.55% |
| 2 | -150 | -190 | 57.05% | 40.86% | 2.09% | -140 | 2.83% | 10.84% |
| 2.5 | -160 | -220 | 59.21% | 38.84% | 1.95% | -152 | 1.83% | 11.93% |
| 3 | -180 | -250 | 61.15% | 36.87% | 1.97% | -166 | 2.90% | 12.41% |
| 3.5 | -200 | -280 | 63.14% | 35.11% | 1.75% | -180 | 3.54% | 12.56% |
| 4 | -220 | -310 | 64.94% | 32.99% | 2.07% | -197 | 3.47% | 12.04% |
| 4.5 | -245 | -410 | 67.08% | 31.22% | 1.70% | -215 | 3.84% | 14.86% |
| 5 | -270 | -450 | 68.84% | 29.36% | 1.80% | -234 | 3.86% | 14.06% |
| 5.5 | -300 | -490 | 70.59% | 27.81% | 1.60% | -254 | 4.28% | 13.4% |
| 6 | -325 | -530 | 72.20% | 26.03% | 1.78% | -277 | 3.81% | 12.41% |
| 6.5 | -350 | -570 | 73.94% | 24.57% | 1.49% | -301 | 3.45% | 11.6% |
| 7 | -375 | -610 | 75.43% | 23.05% | 1.52% | -327 | 2.93% | 10.68% |
| 7.5 | | -670 | 76.9% | 21.79% | 1.32% | -353 | | 10.31% |
| 8 | | -730 | 78.24% | 20.28% | 1.48% | -386 | | 9.56% |
| 8.5 | | -790 | 79.74% | 19.10% | 1.16% | -418 | | 9.00% |
在投注大小盘时，购买额外积分时无需避免任何重大的投注结果。预测总分与实际总分之间的差异往往大于让分。因此，在相同赔率下，购买额外积分的效果不如投注大小盘。下表显示了购买的积分数量（卖出积分时为负数）、Bet365 的赔率、赢、输、平局的概率、公平赔率以及 Bet365 的赌场优势。总而言之，购买总分的效果不如投注让分的效果好。
购买/出售总分额外积分
| 购买积分 | Bet365 支付 | 概率获胜 | 概率损失 | 概率平局 | 公平线 | Bet365 的庄家优势 |
|---|
| -7 | 160 | 33.23% | 65.25% | 1.52% | 196 | 12.08% |
| -6.5 | 155 | 34.75% | 64.55% | 0.71% | 186 | 10.69% |
| -6 | 150 | 35.45% | 63.00% | 1.55% | 178 | 9.82% |
| -5.5 | 145 | 37.00% | 62.37% | 0.63% | 169 | 8.72% |
| -5 | 140 | 37.63% | 60.88% | 1.49% | 162 | 8.20% |
| -4.5 | 135 | 39.12% | 60.23% | 0.66% | 154 | 7.42% |
| -4 | 130 | 39.77% | 58.56% | 1.66% | 147 | 6.86% |
| -3.5 | 125 | 41.44% | 57.93% | 0.63% | 140 | 6.13% |
| -3 | 120 | 42.07% | 56.38% | 1.55% | 134 | 5.90% |
| -2.5 | 115 | 43.62% | 55.69% | 0.69% | 128 | 5.53% |
| -2 | 110 | 44.31% | 54.05% | 1.64% | 122 | 5.31% |
| -1.5 | 105 | 45.95% | 53.3% | 0.75% | 116 | 5.06% |
| -1 | 100 | 46.70% | 51.48% | 1.82% | 110 | 4.79% |
| -0.5 | -105 | 48.52% | 50.82% | 0.67% | 105 | 4.61% |
| 0 | -110 | 49.18% | 49.18% | 1.63% | 100 | 4.92% |
| 0.5 | -120 | 50.82% | 48.52% | 0.67% | -105 | 7.40% |
| 1 | -130 | 51.48% | 46.7% | 1.82% | -110 | 9.22% |
| 1.5 | -140 | 53.30% | 45.95% | 0.75% | -116 | 11.02% |
| 2 | -150 | 54.05% | 44.31% | 1.64% | -122 | 12.41% |
| 2.5 | -160 | 55.69% | 43.62% | 0.69% | -128 | 14.10% |
| 3 | -170 | 56.38% | 42.07% | 1.55% | -134 | 15.14% |
| 3.5 | -180 | 57.93% | 41.44% | 0.63% | -140 | 16.66% |
| 4 | -190 | 58.56% | 39.77% | 1.66% | -147 | 17.01% |
| 4.5 | -195 | 60.23% | 39.12% | 0.66% | -154 | 16.06% |
| 5 | -205 | 60.88% | 37.63% | 1.49% | -162 | 16.25% |
| 5.5 | -215 | 62.37% | 37.00% | 0.63% | -169 | 17.18% |
| 6 | -225 | 63.00% | 35.45% | 1.55% | -178 | 16.77% |
| 6.5 | -235 | 64.55% | 34.75% | 0.71% | -186 | 17.11% |
| 7 | -250 | 65.25% | 33.23% | 1.52% | -196 | 17.83% |
预告片
下表显示了拉斯维加斯一些体育博彩公司对篮球预告的赔率，按赔率从高到低的顺序排列。
篮球四分盘口——赔率调查
| 体育博彩 | 2支球队 | 3支球队 | 4支球队 | 5支球队 | 6支球队 | 7支球队 | 8支球队 |
|---|
| 金块 | +100 | +180 | +300 | +450 | +700 | +1000 | +1500 |
| 幸运的 | -110 | +180 | +300 | +450 | +700 | +900 | +1200 |
| 哈拉斯 | -110 | +160 | +280 | +450 | +600 | | |
| 米高梅幻影 | -110 | +160 | +250 | +400 | +600 | | |
| 卡尔内瓦 | -110 | +160 | +250 | +400 | +600 | +800 | +1000 |
| 威尼斯人 | -120 | +150 | +200 | +350 | +500 | | |
4.5分篮球让分盘——赔率调查
| 体育博彩 | 2支球队 | 3支球队 | 4支球队 | 5支球队 | 6支球队 | 7支球队 | 8支球队 |
|---|
| 幸运的 | -120 | +160 | +250 | +400 | +600 | +800 | +1000 |
| 哈拉斯 | -120 | +150 | +260 | +400 | +550 | | |
| 卡尔内瓦 | -120 | +145 | +220 | +350 | +500 | +700 | +900 |
| 米高梅幻影 | -120 | +140 | +200 | +350 | +500 | | |
篮球5分让分盘——赔率调查
| 体育博彩 | 2支球队 | 3支球队 | 4支球队 | 5支球队 | 6支球队 | 7支球队 | 8支球队 |
|---|
| 埃尔科尔特斯/南角 | -110 | +150 | +200 | +350 | +500 | +700 | +800 |
| 金块 | -120 | +150 | +200 | +350 | +500 | +800 | +1200 |
| 幸运的 | -130 | +150 | +200 | +350 | +500 | +700 | +900 |
| 哈拉斯 | -130 | +140 | +240 | +350 | +500 | | |
| 卡尔内瓦 | -130 | +135 | +200 | +300 | +450 | +600 | +800 |
| 米高梅幻影 | -130 | +120 | +180 | +300 | +400 | | |
5.5分篮球让分盘——赔率调查
| 体育博彩 | 2支球队 | 3支球队 | 4支球队 | 5支球队 | 6支球队 | 7支球队 | 8支球队 |
|---|
| 埃尔科尔特斯/南角 | -120 | +130 | +180 | +300 | +400 | +600 | +700 |
篮球6分让分盘——赔率调查
| 体育博彩 | 2支球队 | 3支球队 | 4支球队 | 5支球队 | 6支球队 | 7支球队 | 8支球队 |
|---|
| 金块 | -130 | +110 | +160 | +250 | +350 | +600 | +1000 |
| 埃尔科尔特斯/南角 | -130 | +110 | +150 | +250 | +300 | +500 | +600 |
如果您必须投注NBA过关盘，切勿跨越或触碰平局。例如，在4分过关盘中，只投注弱队或4.5分及以上的强队。总分盘中没有需要回避的重要数字。下表显示了使用此策略的获胜概率和赌场优势。
篮球四分让分盘 — 庄家优势
| 挑选 | 支付 | 胜率（差价） | 胜率（总计） | 庄家优势（点差） | 庄家优势（总计） |
|---|
| 2 | -120 | 43.97% | 35.47% | 19.39% | 34.98% |
| 2 | -110 | 43.97% | 35.47% | 16.05% | 32.29% |
| 2 | 100 | 43.97% | 35.47% | 12.06% | 29.07% |
| 3 | 150 | 29.16% | 21.12% | 27.1% | 47.2% |
| 3 | 160 | 29.16% | 21.12% | 24.19% | 45.09% |
| 3 | 180 | 29.16% | 21.12% | 18.36% | 40.86% |
| 4 | 200 | 19.33% | 12.58% | 42.0% | 62.27% |
| 4 | 250 | 19.33% | 12.58% | 32.33% | 55.98% |
| 4 | 280 | 19.33% | 12.58% | 26.53% | 52.2% |
| 4 | 300 | 19.33% | 12.58% | 22.66% | 49.69% |
| 5 | 350 | 12.82% | 7.49% | 42.30% | 66.29% |
| 5 | 400 | 12.82% | 7.49% | 35.89% | 62.55% |
| 6 | 600 | 8.5% | 4.46% | 40.49% | 68.77% |
| 6 | 700 | 8.5% | 4.46% | 31.98% | 64.31% |
| 7 | 800 | 5.64% | 2.66% | 49.26% | 76.09% |
| 7 | 900 | 5.64% | 2.66% | 43.62% | 73.43% |
| 7 | 1000 | 5.64% | 2.66% | 37.99% | 70.78% |
| 8 | 1000 | 3.74% | 1.58% | 58.88% | 82.60% |
| 8 | 1200 | 3.74% | 1.58% | 51.4% | 79.43% |
| 8 | 1500 | 3.74% | 1.58% | 40.19% | 74.69% |
4.5分篮球让分盘——庄家优势
| 挑选 | 支付 | 胜率（差价） | 胜率（总计） | 庄家优势（点差） | 庄家优势（总计） |
|---|
| 2 | -120 | 46.57% | 36.75% | 14.62% | 32.62% |
| 3 | 140 | 31.78% | 22.28% | 23.73% | 46.53% |
| 3 | 145 | 31.78% | 22.28% | 22.14% | 45.41% |
| 3 | 150 | 31.78% | 22.28% | 20.55% | 44.3% |
| 3 | 160 | 31.78% | 22.28% | 17.37% | 42.07% |
| 4 | 200 | 21.69% | 13.51% | 34.94% | 59.48% |
| 4 | 220 | 21.69% | 13.51% | 30.6% | 56.78% |
| 4 | 250 | 21.69% | 13.51% | 24.09% | 52.73% |
| 4 | 260 | 21.69% | 13.51% | 21.92% | 51.37% |
| 5 | 350 | 14.8% | 8.19% | 33.40% | 63.15% |
| 5 | 400 | 14.8% | 8.19% | 26.00% | 59.06% |
| 6 | 500 | 10.1% | 4.96% | 39.40% | 70.22% |
| 6 | 550 | 10.1% | 4.96% | 34.35% | 67.73% |
| 6 | 600 | 10.1% | 4.96% | 29.3% | 65.25% |
| 7 | 700 | 6.89% | 3.01% | 44.86% | 75.93% |
| 7 | 800 | 6.89% | 3.01% | 37.97% | 72.92% |
| 8 | 900 | 4.7% | 1.82% | 52.96% | 81.76% |
| 8 | 1000 | 4.7% | 1.82% | 48.26% | 79.93% |
篮球五分让分盘 — 庄家优势
| 挑选 | 支付 | 胜率（差价） | 胜率（总计） | 庄家优势（点差） | 庄家优势（总计） |
|---|
| 2 | -130 | 49.14% | 38.20% | 13.05% | 32.42% |
| 2 | -120 | 49.14% | 38.20% | 9.90% | 29.97% |
| 2 | -110 | 49.14% | 38.20% | 6.18% | 27.08% |
| 3 | 120 | 34.45% | 23.61% | 24.21% | 48.07% |
| 3 | 135 | 34.45% | 23.61% | 19.04% | 44.53% |
| 3 | 140 | 34.45% | 23.61% | 17.32% | 43.34% |
| 3 | 150 | 34.45% | 23.61% | 13.87% | 40.98% |
| 4 | 180 | 24.15% | 14.59% | 32.38% | 59.15% |
| 4 | 200 | 24.15% | 14.59% | 27.55% | 56.23% |
| 4 | 240 | 24.15% | 14.59% | 17.89% | 50.4% |
| 5 | 300 | 16.93% | 9.02% | 32.28% | 63.93% |
| 5 | 350 | 16.93% | 9.02% | 23.82% | 59.42% |
| 6 | 400 | 11.87% | 5.57% | 40.66% | 72.14% |
| 6 | 450 | 11.87% | 5.57% | 34.73% | 69.35% |
| 6 | 500 | 11.87% | 5.57% | 28.79% | 66.56% |
| 7 | 600 | 8.32% | 3.44% | 41.76% | 75.89% |
| 7 | 700 | 8.32% | 3.44% | 33.44% | 72.45% |
| 7 | 800 | 8.32% | 3.44% | 25.12% | 69.00% |
| 8 | 800 | 5.83% | 2.13% | 47.51% | 80.84% |
| 8 | 900 | 5.83% | 2.13% | 41.68% | 78.71% |
| 8 | 1200 | 5.83% | 2.13% | 24.18% | 72.33% |
5.5分篮球让分盘——庄家优势
| 挑选 | 支付 | 胜率（差价） | 胜率（总计） | 庄家优势（点差） | 庄家优势（总计） |
|---|
| 2 | -120 | 51.47% | 39.4% | 5.64% | 27.77% |
| 3 | 130 | 36.92% | 24.73% | 15.08% | 43.13% |
| 4 | 180 | 26.49% | 15.52% | 25.83% | 56.54% |
| 5 | 300 | 19.00% | 9.74% | 23.99% | 61.03% |
| 6 | 400 | 13.63% | 6.11% | 31.83% | 69.43% |
| 7 | 600 | 9.78% | 3.84% | 31.53% | 73.14% |
| 8 | 700 | 7.02% | 2.41% | 43.87% | 80.73% |
篮球六分过关投注——庄家优势
| 挑选 | 支付 | 胜率（差价） | 胜率（总计） | 庄家优势（点差） | 庄家优势（总计） |
|---|
| 2 | -130 | 54.03% | 40.95% | 4.42% | 27.55% |
| 3 | 110 | 39.71% | 26.2% | 16.61% | 44.98% |
| 4 | 150 | 29.19% | 16.77% | 27.03% | 58.08% |
| 4 | 160 | 29.19% | 16.77% | 24.11% | 56.41% |
| 5 | 250 | 21.45% | 10.73% | 24.91% | 62.45% |
| 6 | 300 | 15.77% | 6.87% | 36.93% | 72.54% |
| 6 | 350 | 15.77% | 6.87% | 29.04% | 69.10% |
| 7 | 500 | 11.59% | 4.39% | 30.46% | 73.64% |
| 7 | 600 | 11.59% | 4.39% | 18.87% | 69.25% |
| 8 | 600 | 8.52% | 2.81% | 40.37% | 80.32% |
| 8 | 1000 | 8.52% | 2.81% | 6.29% | 69.08% |
关于 NBA 让分盘的底线是，它们通常都是糟糕的赌注，尤其是从总数来看。
过关投注
下表按从最好到最差的顺序列出了拉斯维加斯部分体育博彩公司在场外投注中支付的赔率。
场外过关投注——赔率调查
| 体育博彩 | 2支球队 | 3支球队 | 4支球队 | 5支球队 | 6支球队 | 7支球队 | 8支球队 |
|---|
| 金块 | 2.6比1 | 6比1 | 11比1 | 22比1 | 40比1 | 75比1 | 140比1 |
| 米高梅幻影 | 2.6比1 | 6比1 | 10比1 | 20比1 | 40比1 | 80比1 | 150比1 |
| 幸运的 | 2.6比1 | 6比1 | 10比1 | 20比1 | 40比1 | 80比1 | 150比1 |
| 埃尔科尔特斯/南角 | 2.6比1 | 6比1 | 10比1 | 20比1 | 40比1 | 75比1 | 150比1 |
| 哈拉斯 | 2.6比1 | 6比1 | 10比1 | 20比1 | 40比1 | 75比1 | 140比1 |
| 威尼斯人 | 2.6比1 | 6比1 | 10比1 | 20比1 | 40比1 | | |
下表根据投注次数及其赔率，显示了过关投注的庄家优势。该表假设每次投注正确的概率为 50%，并忽略平局。
场外过关投注 — 庄家优势
| 挑选 | 支付 | 概率获胜 | 庄家优势 |
|---|
| 2 | 2.6 | 25.00% | 10.00% |
| 3 | 6 | 12.50% | 12.5% |
| 4 | 10 | 6.25% | 31.25% |
| 4 | 11 | 6.25% | 25.00% |
| 5 | 20 | 3.13% | 34.38% |
| 5 | 22 | 3.13% | 28.13% |
| 6 | 40 | 1.56% | 35.94% |
| 7 | 75 | 0.78% | 40.63% |
| 7 | 80 | 0.78% | 36.72% |
| 8 | 140 | 0.39% | 44.92% |
| 8 | 150 | 0.39% | 41.02% |
如果您在不赔付-110的过关投注中只包含一项赛事，则需要进行计算以确定赔率。计算过程将每个投注视为独立进行。例如，如果您投注了三支球队的过关投注，每项赛事的赔率分别为-110、+200和-300，则赔率将为(21/11)*(3/1)*(4/3) = 7.6364 (赔率1)，或6.6364 (赔率1)。如果您在所有-110的投注中都使用此计算方法，那么您的赔率会更高，但3项赛事的过关投注除外。下表显示了米高梅-幻影过关投注的庄家优势及其计算方法。
MGM-Mirage 与计算过关投注的比较
| 挑选 | 米高梅幻影支付 | 精打细算 | 米高梅幻影赌场优势 | 计算庄家优势 |
|---|
| 2 | 2.6 | 2.645 | 10.00% | 8.88% |
| 3 | 6 | 5.958 | 12.50% | 13.03% |
| 4 | 10 | 12.283 | 31.25% | 16.98% |
| 5 | 20 | 24.359 | 34.38% | 20.75% |
| 6 | 40 | 47.413 | 35.94% | 24.36% |
| 7 | 80 | 91.424 | 36.72% | 27.79% |
| 8 | 150 | 175.446 | 41.02% | 31.08% |
避免过关投注赔率过低的一个妙招是，将赔率不为-110的赛事混入投注。例如，如果玩家X在米高梅-幻影体育博彩公司进行8支球队的过关投注，赔率均为-110，他的赔率将是150比1。如果玩家Y进行8支球队的过关投注，其中7支球队的赔率为-110，1支球队的赔率为-120，他的赔率将是(21/11) 7 ×(22/12) – 1 = 168.4446比1。因此，玩家Y选择的是胜率更高的比赛，获得的赔率将大幅提升。如果所有球队的赔率都高于-110，那么可以考虑混入输赢盘投注。
来源
本页面基于 1987 年至 2006 年赛季的 NBA 记录。
撰写者: Michael Shackleford
